THE CIRCULARITY MACHINE

Preparing analysis…

Unpacking the research. Connecting the obligations. Testing the cash.

Reading embedded data0%

Everything runs in this browser. No login, API key, or external data request.

FOLLOW THE MONEY / BREAK THE ASSUMPTIONS
SCENARIO LAB · NOT A DEFAULT FORECAST

What happens when
the AI money loop breaks?

Billions committed. Cash still has to arrive. Pull a financial lever, follow the dependencies, and discover who faces a funding gap first.

See who faces first collapse risk
Read the ranking correctly. Numbers mark simulated funding gaps under your assumptions—not predicted bankruptcies. Starting balances come from different historical dates and are not rolled forward. Missing companies are not presumed safe. The underlying research is incomplete.
CHOOSE YOUR SCENARIO
Choose a preset, then fine-tune the shock controls.
First funding gap—
When / from model start—
Stress within 60 months—
Embedded research universe—

WHAT BREAKS

Conditional funding gaps, not bankruptcy predictions. Reasons summarize modelled cash drains through the first gap; unranked entities remain unassessed.

Click a company to edit its finances. Numbered nodes have a modelled funding gap. Dashed lines show historical or unmodelled relationships. Layout is schematic; distance conveys no financial meaning.
Funding gapNo gap in model horizonUnranked / incompleteSolid orange = active stress link

Main result

Who faces collapse risk first?

Tied months share a rank. Financing announcements and paper valuations are not automatically available cash.

Cash does not follow the headline.

Selected company’s cash trajectory, with and without counterparty stress. Negative values represent unmet funding needs, not an actual negative bank balance.

━ Current scenario┄ Same settings, no contagion

Event ledger

Ten stress tests. Ten conditional stories.

These are illustrative settings, not estimated probabilities. Each uses your company and link assumptions. Every card shows its earliest three funding gaps and model months.

Open the books. Inspect the assumptions.

Financial observations · selected entity

All documented relationships · selected entity

Click “Model” to control a link’s assumed timing or activation. Undisclosed allocations stay undisclosed. Historical investments, guarantees, excluded and ambiguous amounts are inactive by default.

Coverage by entity